01 · ROSTER FIT
Who helps this team most?
Recommendations adapt to starter holes, flex paths, bench depth and the positions you have already drafted.
2026 AI fantasy football draft model
The AI draft model that beat ADP in 1,000 simulated drafts.
ADP tells you who everyone else is drafting. OverADP analyzes player projections, your roster and every live pick—then tells you who to draft next and who can wait.
50.6% vs 25.7%
Top-three regular-season finish rate for OverADP-guided teams versus ADP-first drafting in 1,000 paired historical simulations.
Historical simulation only—not a guarantee. This draft-only study excludes injuries, waivers, trades, lineup decisions and other in-season management. Individual results will vary.
ASK THE AI WHO TO DRAFT NEXT →Mark live picks taken · Record one pick free · No card or account for the test
50.6%
OverADP top-three rate
25.7%
ADP-first top-three rate
+120.9
average simulated points
1,000
paired historical drafts
Proof before promise
The difference started at the draft.
With the Week-1 lineup held fixed to isolate draft quality, OverADP-guided teams finished the regular season in the top three nearly twice as often as ADP-first teams.
That does not promise a title. It is evidence that combining AI projections with roster fit and live draft decisions can build a stronger starting roster than simply following ADP.
READ THE 1,000-DRAFT STUDY →SEE THE COMPLETE TEST DESIGN AND LIMITATIONS →
TOP-THREE REGULAR-SEASON RATE2023–2024
+24.9 pointsabsolute lift in top-three rate
Retrospective exploratory simulation using true Fantasy Football Calculator ADP: 1,000 paired 12-team, 15-round, half-PPR drafts across 2023 and 2024. Results are not a guarantee. Championship rate did not improve in this test.
Why those drafts separated
ADP follows the crowd. The AI builds your team.
ADP tells you where players are usually selected. It cannot tell you which available player helps your roster most—or whether you can safely wait another round.
02 · NEXT-TURN URGENCY
Who is likely to survive?
Target Intel weighs current value against the chance that a comparable player will still be there at your next pick.
03 · AI VS ADP
Where does the AI disagree?
Position-specific models identify players whose expected production differs from where the crowd is drafting them—and show uncertainty instead of fake certainty.
One clear next-pick decision
Stop juggling rankings while the clock runs.
DRAFTING FROM ADP ALONE
- Same list everyone else sees
- Shows popularity—not expected production
- Does not know who may reach your next pick
- Does not change for the team you are building
DRAFTING WITH OVERADP AI
- Recalculates after every live pick
- Adapts to the roster you are building
- Shows take-now and safe-to-wait signals
- Displays projection ranges and risk
Try the decision before buying
Watch the AI change its answer before you buy.
Mark players taken as your board moves, watch the AI recalculate, then record one live pick free. If the answer earns a place beside your draft room, unlock guidance through your final pick.
- AI recommendations that react to your roster
- Player projections, VBD and clear ADP comparisons
- Sleeper, bust, bye-week and handcuff alerts
- Public methodology and honest limitations
Questions before kickoff
Know exactly what you are getting
What does the 50.6% top-three result mean?
It is the regular-season top-three rate for Target Intel teams in 1,000 paired retrospective simulations using 2023 and 2024 true ADP. The comparison held the Week-1 lineup fixed to isolate the roster created at the draft. It is encouraging historical evidence, not a promise of future results or prize money.
Why not just follow ADP?
ADP shows where players are usually drafted. It does not predict which available player will help your specific roster most. OverADP combines its own projections with roster fit, positional value, every live pick and the likelihood that a player remains available next round.
Does OverADP connect directly to ESPN, Yahoo or Sleeper?
Not currently. You mark your picks and opponent picks as the draft proceeds. That makes the War Room platform-independent, but it requires manual input while direct league integrations are developed.
Does OverADP guarantee a winning draft?
No. Injuries, weekly management, waivers, trades and playoff variance all matter. OverADP is a transparent draft decision aid, not a guarantee of a particular finish.
What formats does it support?
The War Room supports configurable team counts, draft slots, roster settings and common scoring formats. The published 2026 board defaults to half-PPR.
Can I try it before creating an account?
Yes. Mark live-board picks taken, watch Target Intel recalculate and record one pick free. An account is required only if you choose the $6.99 full-draft unlock.
Stop drafting from the same list as everyone else.
Give the AI your live board and see who it recommends next.
ASK THE AI WHO TO DRAFT NEXT →