2026 Fantasy RB Rankings

The top 50 RBs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes an 80% range built from how far past projections missed. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.

Running-back projections account for committee usage, prior workload, current depth context, injury history, and teammate competition. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, RB posted 31.40 MAE and 0.68 R² over 328 player-season predictions.

Rank	Player	Team	Proj Pts	80% CI	ADP	Risk
RB1	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	262.4	147–385	2	LOW
RB2	Bijan Robinson	ATL	256.6	141–380	2	LOW
RB3	Jonathan Taylor	IND	232.4	117–355	6	LOW
RB4	Christian McCaffrey	SF	214.7	100–338	7	LOW
RB5	De'Von Achane	MIA	214.3	99–337	12	LOW
RB6	Derrick Henry	BAL	213.6	98–336	10	LOW
RB7	James Cook	BUF	208.6	93–332	9	LOW
RB8	Saquon Barkley	PHI	187.2	72–310	17	LOW
RB9	Ashton Jeanty	LV	185.6	70–308	24	LOW
RB10	Jeremiyah Love	ARI	184.9	70–308	30	LOW
RB11	Chase Brown	CIN	183.2	68–306	15	LOW
RB12	Kyren Williams	LA	181.4	66–304	28	LOW
RB13	Omarion Hampton	LAC	180.0	65–303	23	LOW
RB14	Cam Skattebo	NYG	171.3	56–294	39	MED
RB15	Kenneth Walker III	KC	169.9	83–270	20	LOW
RB16	Breece Hall	NYJ	167.7	52–291	33	MED
RB17	D'Andre Swift	CHI	151.9	65–252	43	LOW
RB18	Javonte Williams	DAL	149.9	63–250	34	LOW
RB19	Bucky Irving	TB	149.6	62–250	48	LOW
RB20	Travis Etienne	NO	149.4	62–250	37	LOW
RB21	Jadarian Price	SEA	139.4	52–240	73	LOW
RB22	Quinshon Judkins	CLE	138.6	52–239	51	LOW
RB23	David Montgomery	HOU	138.2	51–239	56	MED
RB24	Jaylen Warren	PIT	132.5	45–233	63	MED
RB25	Aaron Jones	MIN	124.7	38–225	111	MED
RB26	Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	124.7	54–213	63	LOW
RB27	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	WAS	123.9	37–224	101	MED
RB28	J.K. Dobbins	DEN	123.2	36–224	78	MED
RB29	Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	123.1	52–212	53	LOW
RB30	Tony Pollard	TEN	121.9	51–211	67	LOW
RB31	TreVeyon Henderson	NE	120.8	50–210	63	LOW
RB32	RJ Harvey	DEN	118.5	31–219	104	MED
RB33	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	117.2	46–206	86	MED
RB34	Josh Jacobs	GB	113.2	66–182	26	LOW
RB35	Kyle Monangai	CHI	113.1	42–202	102	MED
RB36	Kenneth Gainwell	TB	111.1	40–200	101	MED
RB37	Rico Dowdle	PIT	102.5	32–191	75	MED
RB38	Rachaad White	WAS	100.6	30–189	119	MED
RB39	Blake Corum	LA	100.4	30–189	121	MED
RB40	Tyjae Spears	TEN	99.4	28–188	141	MED
RB41	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	NYG	96.5	26–185	159	MED
RB42	Jordan Mason	MIN	93.2	22–182	114	MED
RB43	Woody Marks	HOU	92.7	22–181	142	MED
RB44	Ray Davis	BUF	91.6	21–180	-	MED
RB45	Jonathon Brooks	CAR	89.1	42–158	90	LOW
RB46	Dylan Sampson	CLE	87.8	17–176	172	MED
RB47	Tyler Allgeier	ARI	83.8	13–172	154	MED
RB48	MarShawn Lloyd	GB	82.6	35–151	157	MED
RB49	Emmett Johnson	KC	82.0	35–151	153	MED
RB50	Alvin Kamara	NO	80.8	34–149	158	MED

How the results were measured

The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. Projections blend the model 50/50 with ADP-implied points, the combination that tested best on 2019 to 2025, and are shown next to current ADP.

The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.

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