2026 Fantasy RB Rankings

The top 50 RBs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes a split-conformal range targeting 80% marginal coverage, calibrated on held-out 2025 rows. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.

Running-back projections account for committee usage, prior workload, current depth context, injury history, and teammate competition. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, RB posted 43.39 MAE and 0.51 R² over 269 player-season predictions.

Rank	Player	Team	Proj Pts	80% CI	ADP	Risk
RB1	Bijan Robinson	ATL	285.1	206–365	2	LOW
RB2	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	264.9	182–347	2	LOW
RB3	De'Von Achane	MIA	254.4	167–342	12	LOW
RB4	James Cook	BUF	248.9	155–342	9	LOW
RB5	Kyren Williams	LA	244.4	151–338	28	LOW
RB6	Derrick Henry	BAL	233.2	106–361	10	LOW
RB7	Jonathan Taylor	IND	230.9	113–349	6	LOW
RB8	Josh Jacobs	GB	227.4	100–355	26	LOW
RB9	Ashton Jeanty	LV	222.8	139–306	21	LOW
RB10	Christian McCaffrey	SF	212.6	100–325	7	LOW
RB11	Chase Brown	CIN	207.3	124–291	15	LOW
RB12	Javonte Williams	DAL	191.0	95–287	33	LOW
RB13	Saquon Barkley	PHI	188.2	68–308	17	LOW
RB14	Travis Etienne	NO	184.2	87–282	37	LOW
RB15	Kenneth Walker III	KC	173.8	85–263	20	LOW
RB16	D'Andre Swift	CHI	155.8	50–261	43	MED
RB17	Breece Hall	NYJ	153.0	72–234	33	LOW
RB18	Cam Skattebo	NYG	148.7	36–261	39	MED
RB19	Zach Charbonnet	SEA	148.3	66–231	133	LOW
RB20	Omarion Hampton	LAC	145.4	61–230	24	LOW
RB21	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	142.7	74–212	86	LOW
RB22	Jaylen Warren	PIT	142.6	59–226	61	LOW
RB23	Kenneth Gainwell	TB	141.6	77–206	101	LOW
RB24	Bucky Irving	TB	140.9	70–212	48	LOW
RB25	Rico Dowdle	PIT	139.8	52–228	74	LOW
RB26	Quinshon Judkins	CLE	137.4	48–227	51	LOW
RB27	Tony Pollard	TEN	130.6	42–220	68	MED
RB28	TreVeyon Henderson	NE	124.9	22–228	64	MED
RB29	RJ Harvey	DEN	116.6	19–214	103	MED
RB30	Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	112.9	18–208	63	MED
RB31	Rachaad White	WAS	110.4	30–191	120	MED
RB32	Najee Harris	NYG	109.9	50–170	—	LOW
RB33	Tyler Allgeier	ARI	105.4	36–175	155	MED
RB34	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	NYG	100.8	19–182	164	MED
RB35	J.K. Dobbins	DEN	94.7	5–184	78	MED
RB36	David Montgomery	HOU	92.7	8–177	56	MED
RB37	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	WAS	90.0	0–207	102	MED
RB38	Kyle Monangai	CHI	87.9	0–195	101	MED
RB39	Jeremiyah Love	ARI	86.4	0–195	29	MED
RB40	Tyjae Spears	TEN	83.2	17–150	144	MED
RB41	Isiah Pacheco	DET	82.7	18–148	157	MED
RB42	Blake Corum	LA	81.3	13–150	122	MED
RB43	Brian Robinson	ATL	81.0	23–139	164	MED
RB44	Jordan Mason	MIN	77.0	0–157	114	MED
RB45	Woody Marks	HOU	75.3	0–168	141	MED
RB46	Frank Gore Jr.	BUF	75.1	8–142	—	MED
RB47	Kimani Vidal	LAC	73.6	34–113	—	LOW
RB48	Michael Carter	TEN	68.8	0–139	—	MED
RB49	Chris Rodriguez Jr.	JAX	67.6	0–137	157	MED
RB50	Sean Tucker	TB	67.4	1–133	—	MED

How the results were measured

The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. An exact-cohort ADP-only check is directionally positive, but we withhold a market-beating percentage because the 2025 input is a preseason-rank proxy rather than true ADP.

The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.

Related Rankings