2026 Fantasy TE Rankings
The top 24 TEs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes an 80% range built from how far past projections missed. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.
These rankings order 2026 TEs by OverADP's projection (model blended with ADP), then show current ADP and uncertainty beside every player. Use the projection as an independent estimate, the range as risk context, and ADP as market price, not as three interchangeable rankings.
Tight-end production is sparse and role-sensitive, so TE uses its own feature set and error profile. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, TE posted 17.99 MAE and 0.67 R² over 276 player-season predictions.
| Rank | Player | Team | Proj Pts | 80% CI | ADP | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE1 | Brock Bowers | LV | 148.2 | 79–200 | 43 | LOW |
| TE2 | Trey McBride | ARI | 148.1 | 79–200 | 38 | LOW |
| TE3 | Harold Fannin Jr. | CLE | 136.6 | 68–188 | 82 | LOW |
| TE4 | Kyle Pitts | ATL | 135.0 | 66–186 | 85 | LOW |
| TE5 | Colston Loveland | CHI | 131.9 | 63–183 | 61 | LOW |
| TE6 | Tyler Warren | IND | 130.9 | 62–182 | 72 | LOW |
| TE7 | George Kittle | SF | 123.2 | 54–175 | 104 | LOW |
| TE8 | Travis Kelce | KC | 112.1 | 66–165 | 120 | LOW |
| TE9 | Sam LaPorta | DET | 111.1 | 64–164 | 125 | LOW |
| TE10 | Tucker Kraft | GB | 109.1 | 62–162 | 95 | LOW |
| TE11 | Dallas Goedert | PHI | 107.4 | 61–161 | 96 | LOW |
| TE12 | Jake Ferguson | DAL | 101.9 | 55–155 | 139 | LOW |
| TE13 | Mark Andrews | BAL | 99.7 | 53–153 | 125 | LOW |
| TE14 | AJ Barner | SEA | 97.4 | 51–151 | - | LOW |
| TE15 | Hunter Henry | NE | 97.3 | 51–151 | 166 | LOW |
| TE16 | Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 96.3 | 50–150 | 150 | LOW |
| TE17 | Kenyon Sadiq | NYJ | 96.1 | 50–149 | 175 | LOW |
| TE18 | Cade Otton | TB | 93.8 | 47–147 | - | LOW |
| TE19 | Dalton Schultz | HOU | 92.3 | 46–146 | 176 | MED |
| TE20 | Juwan Johnson | NO | 92.1 | 46–145 | 161 | MED |
| TE21 | Chig Okonkwo | WAS | 90.4 | 44–144 | - | MED |
| TE22 | T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 87.2 | 41–140 | 173 | MED |
| TE23 | Isaiah Likely | NYG | 85.8 | 46–133 | 136 | LOW |
| TE24 | Brenton Strange | JAX | 85.4 | 39–139 | 172 | MED |
How to read this table
Proj Pts: half-PPR fantasy points the point model estimates over the full 2026 season. 80% CI: the range that past projections at this level hit about 80% of the time. A wide range means more uncertainty. ADP: current half-PPR average draft position. Risk: relative interval width bucketed within position.
How the results were measured
The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. Projections blend the model 50/50 with ADP-implied points, the combination that tested best on 2019 to 2025, and are shown next to current ADP.
The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.
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