2026 Fantasy TE Rankings

The top 24 TEs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes a split-conformal range targeting 80% marginal coverage, calibrated on held-out 2025 rows. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.

Tight-end production is sparse and role-sensitive, so TE uses its own feature set and error profile. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, TE posted 23.79 MAE and 0.56 R² over 223 player-season predictions.

Rank	Player	Team	Proj Pts	80% CI	ADP	Risk
TE1	Trey McBride	ARI	192.3	142–242	38	LOW
TE2	Kyle Pitts	ATL	139.0	94–184	82	LOW
TE3	Travis Kelce	KC	133.4	79–187	119	LOW
TE4	Brock Bowers	LV	132.2	94–170	44	LOW
TE5	George Kittle	SF	129.0	71–187	113	LOW
TE6	Kenyon Sadiq	NYJ	124.4	50–199	178	MED
TE7	Juwan Johnson	NO	124.0	72–176	162	LOW
TE8	Hunter Henry	NE	122.9	73–173	162	LOW
TE9	Dallas Goedert	PHI	117.8	58–177	104	MED
TE10	Harold Fannin Jr.	CLE	114.2	59–169	83	LOW
TE11	Tucker Kraft	GB	113.8	63–164	95	LOW
TE12	Dalton Schultz	HOU	112.9	62–164	179	LOW
TE13	Colston Loveland	CHI	111.4	57–166	62	LOW
TE14	Tyler Warren	IND	110.2	46–174	72	MED
TE15	Jake Ferguson	DAL	110.0	65–155	140	LOW
TE16	Sam LaPorta	DET	101.2	62–140	125	LOW
TE17	Cade Otton	TB	100.6	61–140	—	LOW
TE18	Chig Okonkwo	WAS	100.0	55–145	—	LOW
TE19	Dalton Kincaid	BUF	99.7	62–138	150	LOW
TE20	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	97.7	59–136	—	LOW
TE21	Mark Andrews	BAL	96.0	48–144	125	MED
TE22	Isaiah Likely	NYG	90.7	47–134	135	LOW
TE23	Oronde Gadsden II	LAC	89.1	36–142	—	MED
TE24	AJ Barner	SEA	88.6	54–123	—	LOW

How the results were measured

The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. An exact-cohort ADP-only check is directionally positive, but we withhold a market-beating percentage because the 2025 input is a preseason-rank proxy rather than true ADP.

The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.

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