2026 Fantasy WR Rankings

The top 60 WRs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes a split-conformal range targeting 80% marginal coverage, calibrated on held-out 2025 rows. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.

Wide-receiver projections use prior target volume, teammate competition, current depth context, and player-level career signals. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, WR posted 31.90 MAE and 0.57 R² over 426 player-season predictions.

Rank	Player	Team	Proj Pts	80% CI	ADP	Risk
WR1	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	278.9	225–333	8	LOW
WR2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	265.8	216–315	5	LOW
WR3	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	246.2	201–292	4	LOW
WR4	Puka Nacua	LA	230.7	175–286	3	LOW
WR5	Drake London	ATL	213.3	135–292	12	LOW
WR6	Chris Olave	NO	196.8	134–259	23	LOW
WR7	Justin Jefferson	MIN	181.8	103–260	14	LOW
WR8	George Pickens	DAL	179.2	139–220	20	LOW
WR9	Zay Flowers	BAL	171.0	114–228	25	LOW
WR10	DeVonta Smith	PHI	169.1	100–238	31	LOW
WR11	Nico Collins	HOU	167.9	112–223	19	LOW
WR12	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	167.2	110–225	47	LOW
WR13	Rashee Rice	KC	162.4	88–237	15	LOW
WR14	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	161.4	104–219	31	LOW
WR15	Emeka Egbuka	TB	147.1	70–224	34	MED
WR16	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	146.9	60–234	12	MED
WR17	Ladd McConkey	LAC	146.9	64–230	41	MED
WR18	Jameson Williams	DET	141.0	91–191	39	LOW
WR19	Michael Wilson	ARI	135.9	91–181	74	LOW
WR20	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	132.0	50–214	30	MED
WR21	Alec Pierce	IND	131.0	62–200	62	MED
WR22	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	129.1	83–175	93	LOW
WR23	A.J. Brown	NE	127.5	72–184	20	LOW
WR24	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	126.8	51–202	126	MED
WR25	Jordan Addison	MIN	123.4	72–175	86	LOW
WR26	Christian Watson	GB	123.2	74–172	56	LOW
WR27	Davante Adams	LA	122.8	80–166	38	LOW
WR28	Romeo Doubs	NE	120.5	79–162	108	LOW
WR29	Rome Odunze	CHI	114.9	59–171	49	MED
WR30	Parker Washington	JAX	114.8	49–180	65	MED
WR31	Courtland Sutton	DEN	114.7	68–161	60	LOW
WR32	Malik Nabers	NYG	114.3	46–182	26	MED
WR33	Quentin Johnston	LAC	113.0	72–154	88	LOW
WR34	Tee Higgins	CIN	112.5	59–166	36	MED
WR35	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	111.8	53–171	70	MED
WR36	Tre Tucker	LV	111.5	59–164	129	LOW
WR37	DJ Moore	BUF	109.9	31–188	45	MED
WR38	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	105.2	56–154	87	LOW
WR39	Michael Pittman	PIT	104.3	53–155	81	MED
WR40	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARI	100.9	32–170	67	MED
WR41	Khalil Shakir	BUF	100.5	58–143	109	LOW
WR42	DK Metcalf	PIT	100.2	44–156	65	MED
WR43	Malik Washington	MIA	97.9	21–175	146	MED
WR44	Josh Downs	IND	93.3	49–138	91	MED
WR45	Rashod Bateman	BAL	91.4	39–144	132	MED
WR46	Keenan Allen	IND	89.3	38–140	137	MED
WR47	Troy Franklin	DEN	89.2	54–124	190	LOW
WR48	Stefon Diggs	WAS	88.8	37–140	95	MED
WR49	Mike Evans	SF	87.5	24–151	54	MED
WR50	Dontayvion Wicks	PHI	84.8	39–130	180	MED
WR51	Tank Dell	HOU	83.4	50–117	152	LOW
WR52	Xavier Worthy	KC	81.9	36–128	100	MED
WR53	Deebo Samuel Sr.	SF	80.3	36–125	100	MED
WR54	Jayden Reed	GB	80.2	34–126	88	MED
WR55	Jalen Nailor	LV	71.8	20–124	143	MED
WR56	Jahan Dotson	ATL	70.0	11–129	—	MED
WR57	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	70.0	24–116	—	MED
WR58	Jauan Jennings	MIN	69.8	23–117	140	MED
WR59	Josh Palmer	BUF	68.8	26–112	—	MED
WR60	Keon Coleman	BUF	68.5	26–111	—	MED

How the results were measured

The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. An exact-cohort ADP-only check is directionally positive, but we withhold a market-beating percentage because the 2025 input is a preseason-rank proxy rather than true ADP.

The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.

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