2026 Fantasy WR Rankings

The top 60 WRs for 2026 half-PPR leagues, ranked by projected fantasy points. Each projection includes an 80% range built from how far past projections missed. A target range is not a guarantee for an individual player.

Wide-receiver projections use prior target volume, teammate competition, current depth context, and player-level career signals. Across the 2024-2025 test folds, WR posted 25.21 MAE and 0.67 R² over 515 player-season predictions.

Rank	Player	Team	Proj Pts	80% CI	ADP	Risk
WR1	Puka Nacua	LA	253.3	175–327	3	LOW
WR2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	242.4	164–316	5	LOW
WR3	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	238.5	160–313	4	LOW
WR4	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	232.3	154–306	8	LOW
WR5	Drake London	ATL	200.5	122–275	12	LOW
WR6	Justin Jefferson	MIN	199.7	121–274	14	LOW
WR7	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	199.4	121–274	12	LOW
WR8	Nico Collins	HOU	191.2	112–265	20	LOW
WR9	Rashee Rice	KC	182.3	103–253	16	LOW
WR10	A.J. Brown	NE	181.9	102–252	19	LOW
WR11	Zay Flowers	BAL	177.0	97–247	25	LOW
WR12	Malik Nabers	NYG	176.0	96–246	26	LOW
WR13	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	167.8	88–238	30	LOW
WR14	Emeka Egbuka	TB	163.8	84–234	34	LOW
WR15	George Pickens	DAL	162.6	83–233	19	LOW
WR16	Chris Olave	NO	159.3	80–230	23	LOW
WR17	DeVonta Smith	PHI	156.7	77–227	31	LOW
WR18	Ladd McConkey	LAC	155.5	76–226	41	LOW
WR19	Jameson Williams	DET	153.0	73–223	39	LOW
WR20	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	151.5	72–222	70	LOW
WR21	Tee Higgins	CIN	148.9	69–219	36	LOW
WR22	Carnell Tate	TEN	148.2	68–218	76	LOW
WR23	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	146.9	80–216	31	LOW
WR24	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	144.9	65–215	47	LOW
WR25	Alec Pierce	IND	143.5	64–214	63	LOW
WR26	DJ Moore	BUF	141.0	61–211	46	LOW
WR27	Davante Adams	LA	140.0	73–210	38	LOW
WR28	Rome Odunze	CHI	139.2	60–210	49	MED
WR29	DK Metcalf	PIT	138.0	58–208	64	MED
WR30	Christian Watson	GB	136.0	56–206	56	MED
WR31	Mike Evans	SF	133.0	66–202	54	LOW
WR32	Luther Burden III	CHI	131.5	65–201	58	LOW
WR33	Terry McLaurin	WAS	129.8	63–199	46	LOW
WR34	Parker Washington	JAX	126.9	60–196	65	LOW
WR35	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARI	126.8	60–196	67	LOW
WR36	Jordan Addison	MIN	126.2	59–196	86	MED
WR37	Michael Wilson	ARI	123.2	56–193	75	MED
WR38	Courtland Sutton	DEN	121.7	55–191	60	MED
WR39	Tre Tucker	LV	121.6	42–192	130	MED
WR40	Quentin Johnston	LAC	121.2	54–191	88	MED
WR41	K.C. Concepcion	CLE	121.0	41–191	118	MED
WR42	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	120.3	53–190	93	MED
WR43	Michael Pittman	PIT	115.7	49–185	81	MED
WR44	Josh Downs	IND	114.9	48–184	94	MED
WR45	Khalil Shakir	BUF	113.3	46–183	110	MED
WR46	Deebo Samuel Sr.	SF	113.1	46–183	102	MED
WR47	Xavier Worthy	KC	110.0	43–180	100	MED
WR48	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	109.2	42–179	124	MED
WR49	Romeo Doubs	NE	108.4	42–178	106	MED
WR50	Stefon Diggs	WAS	107.0	40–176	95	MED
WR51	Chris Godwin Jr.	TB	106.7	40–176	77	MED
WR52	Jayden Reed	GB	106.5	40–176	89	MED
WR53	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	105.0	38–174	120	MED
WR54	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	102.2	35–172	88	MED
WR55	Makai Lemon	PHI	99.4	32–169	115	MED
WR56	Troy Franklin	DEN	95.6	29–165	168	MED
WR57	Malik Washington	MIA	94.9	28–164	145	MED
WR58	De'Zhaun Stribling	SF	93.2	47–152	128	MED
WR59	Jalen Nailor	LV	92.2	25–162	148	MED
WR60	Keenan Allen	IND	92.0	46–151	136	MED

How the results were measured

The point model was trained only on earlier seasons and evaluated on the next season. The published metrics aggregate every eligible player row from the 2024 and 2025 test folds. Projections blend the model 50/50 with ADP-implied points, the combination that tested best on 2019 to 2025, and are shown next to current ADP.

The biggest gaps between model and ADP are surfaced on our Top Sleepers and Top Busts pages. The full War Room shows every player with filtering, VBD, scarcity, and draft-tracking.

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